Thursday 14 December 2017
“I cannot prevent the French from being French.” - Charles de Gaulle

    Welcome to '500Signatures', for analysis and commentary on French politics and elections

    This blog is produced by Jocelyn Evans (University of Leeds) and Gilles Ivaldi (University of Nice)

    Politicizing terror: terrorism and the 2017 presidential race
    Hollande’s calculation behind the French socialist presidential primary
    Is the French 2017 presidential battle already over?
    Estimating Marine Le Pen’s 2017 presidential vote share
    Walking a fine line? Hollande and the French Left
    All roads lead to Rome: French parties on the way to the 2017 presidentials
    Ils ne passeront pas – the stemming of the FN tide in the regional run-offs
    The FN on the threshold of regional government
    Regional elections and the anti-Muslim backlash
    Politics in a time of war?
    A right-wing landslide but no far-right tsunami: the departmental election run-off
    The Front national is not France’s first party
    What to expect in next month’s French departmental elections
    Departmentals 2015: the new French elections no-one seems to care about
    Beta-testing social-liberalism 2.0
    France’s new earthquake election? The FN in the European elections

    posts have been published
    since 10 January 2012

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    Jocelyn Evans [@JocelynAJEvans] is Professor of Politics at the University of Leeds

    Gilles Ivaldi is a CNRS researcher in political science based at the University of Nice



    - Forecasting the FN vote in Second-Order elections (updated 12 May 2014)

    - Forecasting the FN vote in Second-Order elections (Jan. 2014)

    - Polling scores by polling type (CATI v CAWI) (updated 20 April 2012)

    - Estimating Marine Le Pen's vote in the 2012 presidentials: an experiment (November 2011)

    - Data for the 2011 expert forecast survey (in CSV file)



    Last modified on Monday 25 April 2016
    Copyright Gilles Ivaldi - @2012-2014